Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports
Australia	02:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 3, Nova Sport
Canada	12:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	18:30	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 4
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:30	beIN Connect
Norway	18:30	Viaplay
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	17:30	DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	00:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	23:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	19:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+
International	16:30	Onefootball


	Arminia Bielefeld		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	2	3.9	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.85
	2.02	3.65	3.15
	2.06	3.85	3.51
	2.11	3.92	2.98	Watch
	2.02	3.94	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)	3.83 ↑ (3.8)	3.17 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
45.4%

Draw
24.7%

Magdeburg
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arminia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 14. Momuluh T. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 2. Hagmann F. 10. Mehlem M. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 30. Young I. 11. Grodowski J. 38. Worl M.	1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 15. Heber D. 4. Dzogovic E. 25. Gnaka S. 6. Stalmach D. 23. Atik B. 29. Ghrieb R. 9. Breunig M. 45. Onaiwu A.
Substitutes
3. Felix J. 7. Kania J. 13. Kunze L. 36. Lukas J. 20. Micheler F. 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 8. Schreck S. 17. Sicker A.	28. Geschwill M. 27. Hercher P. 11. Holmstrom A. 3. Hoti A. 38. Hyrylainen L. 30. Kruth N. (G) 21. Michel F. 10. Pesch N. 8. Ulrich L.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Fiedler M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Mathisen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Corboz M. ⚽, Grodowski J. (A),
62', 2 - 0, Grodowski J. ⚽, Mehlem M. (A),
69', Dzogovic E. 🟨,
73', Gnaka S. ↓, Ulrich L. ↑,
73', Mathisen M. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
73', Heber D. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
73', Onaiwu A. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
79', Momuluh T. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
79', Young I. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
85', Mehlem M. 🟨,
87', Dzogovic E. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
89', Grodowski J. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
89', Mehlem M. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
90+3', Worl M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,

Preview

Arminia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Magdeburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arminia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Arminia: Boakye B. (Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Lannert C. (Red Card) Sarenren Bazee N. (Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Baars M. (Concussion) Bockhorn H. (Muscle Injury) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Diawara K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Loric S. (Muscle Injury) Nollenberger A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Arminia: Handwerker T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLWWW
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	4:5 ✺
23.08.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Saarbrücken - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Magdeburg - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.05.23	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:0
13.11.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	3:1
17.02.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	1:3
17.09.18	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0

Upcoming Matches