Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Nova Sport
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
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Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
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Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Arminia Bielefeld		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	2	3.9	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.85
	2.02	3.65	3.15
	2.06	3.85	3.51
	2.11	3.92	2.98	Watch
	2.02	3.94	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)	3.83 ↑ (3.8)	3.17 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
45.4%

Draw
24.7%

Magdeburg
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arminia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 14. Momuluh T. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 2. Hagmann F. 10. Mehlem M. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 30. Young I. 11. Grodowski J. 38. Worl M.	1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 15. Heber D. 4. Dzogovic E. 25. Gnaka S. 6. Stalmach D. 23. Atik B. 29. Ghrieb R. 9. Breunig M. 45. Onaiwu A.
Substitutes
3. Felix J. 7. Kania J. 13. Kunze L. 36. Lukas J. 20. Micheler F. 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 8. Schreck S. 17. Sicker A.	28. Geschwill M. 27. Hercher P. 11. Holmstrom A. 3. Hoti A. 38. Hyrylainen L. 30. Kruth N. (G) 21. Michel F. 10. Pesch N. 8. Ulrich L.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Fiedler M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Mathisen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Corboz M. ⚽, Grodowski J. (A),
62', 2 - 0, Grodowski J. ⚽, Mehlem M. (A),
69', Dzogovic E. 🟨,
73', Gnaka S. ↓, Ulrich L. ↑,
73', Mathisen M. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
73', Heber D. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
73', Onaiwu A. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
79', Momuluh T. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
79', Young I. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
85', Mehlem M. 🟨,
87', Dzogovic E. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
89', Grodowski J. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
89', Mehlem M. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
90+3', Worl M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,

Preview

Arminia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Magdeburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arminia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Arminia: Boakye B. (Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Lannert C. (Red Card) Sarenren Bazee N. (Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Baars M. (Concussion) Bockhorn H. (Muscle Injury) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Diawara K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Loric S. (Muscle Injury) Nollenberger A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Arminia: Handwerker T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLWWW
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	4:5 ✺
23.08.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Saarbrücken - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Magdeburg - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.05.23	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:0
13.11.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	3:1
17.02.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	1:3
17.09.18	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0

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