Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:30	Disney+
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports
Australia	22:30	beIN Connect
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 6
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	08:30	Disney+
Colombia	06:30	Disney+
Croatia	13:30	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 2
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hong Kong	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
Laos	18:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	00:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	13:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Peru	06:30	Disney+
Philippines	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	13:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App
Romania	14:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	14:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	14:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	13:30	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	13:30	Sport TV1
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	18:30	beIN Connect
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+
International	11:30	OneFootball TV


	Dynamo Dresden		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.60	2.45
	2.42	3.5	2.52	Watch
	2.62	3.75	2.69
	2.55	3.62	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.65
	2.46	3.55	2.58	Watch
	2.46	3.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.41)	3.6 ↓ (3.74)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
37.3%

Draw
26.2%

Magdeburg
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Grill L. (G) 32. Sterner J. 6. Rapp N. 42. Muller F. 44. Straudi S. 21. Raschl T. 24. Covic P. 18. Wagner R. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 20. Bobzien B. 9. Vermeij V.	1. Reimann D. (C) 7. Bockhorn H. 5. Muller T. 3. Garcia MacNulty A. 28. Nadjombe P. 26. Musel T. 38. Hyrylainen L. 10. Kwarteng M. 8. Iyoha E. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.
Substitutes
33. Daferner C. 16. Froling N. 8. Herrmann L. 11. Inanoglu K. 10. Lemmer J. 17. Muhamedbegovic A. 34. Neininger T. 19. Rossipal A. 1. Schreiber T. (G)	35. Baars M. 11. Chavez F. 15. Heber D. 6. Jaeckel P. 30. Kruth N. (G) 33. Mergner L. 19. Musonda L. 17. Nollenberger A. 9. Simic R.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Sander P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Hauptmann N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Straudi S. ⚽,
55', Bockhorn H. ↓, Nollenberger A. ↑,
55', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
72', Bobzien B. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
77', Kwarteng M. ↓, Baars M. ↑,
80', Rapp N. ↓, Muhamedbegovic A. ↑,
81', Vermeij V. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
85', Muhamedbegovic A. 🟨,
87', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
87', Covic P. ↓, Inanoglu K. ↑,
87', Zukowski M. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
87', Nadjombe P. ↓, Tachie R. ↑,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th in the Relegation - 3. Liga and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.

Dynamo Dresden is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Magdeburg is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Dynamo Dresden: Bunning L. (Head Injury) Keller T. (Inactive) Schmidt K. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Magdeburg: Musonda L. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Dynamo Dresden: Ezeh B. (Inactive).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo Dresden has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:10 (averaging 1.7:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dynamo Dresden against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Magdeburg	9	5	1	3	20:12	8	16
15	SG Dynamo Dresden	9	2	2	5	11:18	-7	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Magdeburg: 4%

Last Results with these Odds

Magdeburg - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.66%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
10.10.26	Osnabrück - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Teplice - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Dynamo Dresden - Bochum	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTL
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
10.10.26	Magdeburg - Hannover	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Magdeburg - Kaiserslautern	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
24.01.26	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:2
09.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:2
German 3 Bundesliga
06.02.21	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	0:1
10.10.20	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.19	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:1
06.10.18	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2
German 3 Bundesliga
16.04.16	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2

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