Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Darmstadt		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	4.1	Watch
	1.72	3.85	4.05	Watch
	1.83	4.09	4.35
	1.95	3.62	3.66	Watch
	1.81	3.91	4.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 (1.82)	3.87 ↑ (3.77)	4.05 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
52.1%

Draw
24.5%

Magdeburg
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Darmstadt - Magdeburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Darmstadt (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Magdeburg (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darmstadt will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Magdeburg (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 20. Vukotic A. 5. Maglica M. 8. Marseiler L. 23. Richter M. 16. Akiyama H. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.	1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 19. Musonda L. 21. Michel F. 8. Ulrich L. 27. Hercher P. 23. Atik B. 17. Nollenberger A. 11. Holmstrom A.
Substitutes
26. Bader M. 27. Bialek B. 10. Boetius J-P. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 32. Holland F. 3. Klassen L. 19. Lakenmacher F. 21. Papela M.	9. Breunig M. 28. Geschwill M. 29. Ghrieb R. 25. Gnaka S. 15. Heber D. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 2. Loric S. 10. Pesch N.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Fiedler M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Michel F. 🟨,
39', Lopez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Ulrich L. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
73', Richter M. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
74', Michel F. ↓, Krempicki C. ↑,
74', Holmstrom A. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
82', Lopez S. 🟨,
85', Corredor K. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
85', Lidberg I. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
90+2', Hercher P. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,
90+2', Nollenberger A. ↓, Loric S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.

Darmstadt is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Magdeburg has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Magdeburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Darmstadt is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Muscle Injury) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Heber D. (Knee Injury) Zukowski M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Nurnberger F. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Darmstadt - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Kaiserslautern - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWL
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.25	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
02.03.25	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	4:1
28.09.24	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	1:2
19.05.23	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	1:0
10.11.22	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	0:1
German DFB Pokal
13.09.20	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	2:3 ET
German 2 Bundesliga
13.04.19	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	0:1
03.11.18	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	3:1

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