The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arminia Bielefeld 47.5%
Draw 25.4%
Verl 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
26%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
25.6%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Arminia Bielefeld - Verl Predictions
Users Predictions:
Arminia Bielefeld will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 19. Grosser M. 3. Felix J. 4. Oppie L. 21. Russo S. 13. Kunze L. 38. Worl M. 30. Young I. 7. Kania J. 22. Schroers M.
1. Schulze P. (G) 8. Kammerbauer P. 3. Kohler T. 2. Gruber F. 24. Stocker M. 23. Benger M. 28. Otto Y. 5. Baack T. 10. Taz B. 9. Arweiler J. 30. Gayret T.
Substitutes
39. Becker A. 17. Biankadi M. 2. Hagmann F. 33. Lippert M. 36. Lukas J. 25. Mizuta K. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 23. Schneider L. 8. Schreck S.
19. Kijewski N. 18. Kyeremateng G. 4. Mikic D. 27. Onuoha C. 34. Otto F. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 16. Scholze M. 7. Stark J. 11. Steczyk D.
Coaches
Kniat M.
Ende A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Arweiler J. ⚽, Baack T. (A),
29', Baack T. 🟨,
34', Stocker M. 🟨,
36', Schulze P. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Kania J. ⚽, Young I. (A),
45+3', Kohler T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oppie L. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
46', Kohler T. ↓, Mikic D. ↑,
46', Stocker M. ↓, Kijewski N. ↑,
57', Gayret T. ↓, Steczyk D. ↑,
61', Hagmann F. 🟨,
62', Grosser M. 🟨,
65', Kijewski N. 🟨,
68', Steczyk D. ↓, Onuoha C. ↑,
69', Young I. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
69', Grosser M. ↓, Schneider L. ↑,
69', Kania J. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
79', Schroers M. ↓, Mizuta K. ↑,
80', Felix J. 🟨,
90', Russo S. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Felix J. ⚽, Russo S. (A),
90+4', Otto Y. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1.
Recent matches Arminia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Verl is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arminia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Arminia will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Arminia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.