Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 7

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Arnavutköy		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	1.98
	3.6	3.35	1.98
	3.56	3.37	2.04
	3.47	3.35	2	Watch
	3.47	3.22	2
	3.6	3.35	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.81)	3.32 ↑ (3.18)	2 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnavutköy
26.3%

Draw
27.7%

Vanspor
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.3%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnavutköy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arnavutköy's form might have worsened.

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vanspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnavutköy than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arnavutköy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vanspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arnavutköy - Vanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Abdioglu Y. (Own goal),
45+2', Arikan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Abdioglu Y. ⚽,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnavutköy Belediye
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.24	Nazillispor - Arnavutköy	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Arnavutköy - Derince Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Arnavutköy - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	3:2 ✺
08.09.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Arnavutköy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWT
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.24	Vanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Menemenspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Vanspor - Elazığspor	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Giresunspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Nazillispor - Vanspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLTW

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