Match Info

2. Lig Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Menemen İlçe Stadyumu (Izmir)


	Menemenspor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.55	3.25	2.65
	2.87	2.96	2.9
	2.54	3.24	2.59	Watch
	2.65	2.79	2.67	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.22)	3.12 ↓ (3.4)	2.65 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Menemenspor
35.5%

Draw
29.7%

Vanspor
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Menemenspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Menemenspor's form might have worsened.

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Menemenspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Menemenspor - Vanspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Menemen (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Menemen (votes: 1 - 50%). Vanspor (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Ornek M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, Yigiter O. ⚽,
79', 0 - 3, Bilal H. ⚽,
83', 1 - 3, Kerem Y. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Menemen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vanspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Menemen won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Menemen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Menemenspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Menemenspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Menemenspor	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Menemenspor - Bucaspor 1928	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Serik Belediyespor - Menemenspor	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Menemenspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Vanspor - Karaman Belediyespor	4:1 ✺
27.04.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Vanspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Vanspor - Bucaspor 1928	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
12.02.25	Vanspor - Menemenspor	2:2
28.09.24	Menemenspor - Vanspor	1:1

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