Match Info

2. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Vanspor		Aksaray Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	4.2
	1.82	3.42	4.32
	1.84	3.41	3.97	Watch
	1.85	3.28	3.93
	1.82	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.1)	3.38 ↑ (3.27)	4.12 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
50.4%

Draw
27.3%

Aksaray Belediyespor
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vanspor's performance.

Aksaray Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aksaray Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vanspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aksaray Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Vanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Abdullah Cakmak A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Eken O. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Kavaklidere H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 2 - 2, Yilmaz I. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Vanspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aksaray Belediyespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vanspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vanspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Vanspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League White Group
08.05.25	Menemenspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Vanspor - Karaman Belediyespor	4:1 ✺
27.04.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Vanspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTWL
- 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
08.05.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
20.04.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
16.02.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:1
05.10.24	Vanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:1

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