Match Info

2. Lig Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Vanspor		Elazığspor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	1.94	3.3	3.85
	2	3.07	4.05
	1.95	3.09	3.96	Watch
	1.99	3.1	4.01
	1.94	3.3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.95)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	3.85 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
47%

Draw
29.1%

Elazığspor
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

29.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Elazığspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elazığspor than the current prediction. (+1%)

Vanspor - Elazığspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Kara B. C. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Kavaklidere H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, Yigiter O. ⚽,
64', 4 - 0, Eken O. (Pen),
70', 4 - 1, Taskiran M. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Vanspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elazığspor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vanspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vanspor could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vanspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vanspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League White Group
16.05.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Vanspor	0:1 ET ✺
12.05.25	Vanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
08.05.25	Menemenspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Vanspor - Karaman Belediyespor	4:1 ✺
27.04.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWT
- Elazığspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Elazığspor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Elazığspor	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Elazığspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Elazığspor	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Elazığspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
08.02.25	Elazığspor - Vanspor	2:1
22.09.24	Vanspor - Elazığspor	0:2
24.03.21	Elazığspor - Vanspor	0:2
18.11.20	Vanspor - Elazığspor	2:1

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