Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)


	Sestao		Mutilvera

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.75	8.5
	1.26	4.65	9.4
	1.26	6.27	12.36
	1.22	5.79	10.9	Watch
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.35	5.32	7.09
	1.22	4.84	12.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.22)	5.23 ↑ (4.98)	10.03 ↓ (12.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
73.1%

Draw
17.7%

Mutilvera
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.6%

18.2%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mutilvera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sestao - Mutilvera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Laka A. B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Erdozia O. ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Castillo Marcilla A. ⚽,
87', 🟥,
90+3', 4 - 0, Castillo Marcilla A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Sestao is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mutilvera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sestao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sestao is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.03.26	Ebro - Sestao	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Eibar B - Sestao	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sestao - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gernika - Sestao	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL
- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.03.26	Mutilvera - Eibar B	0:4 ✺
08.03.26	SD Logroñés - Mutilvera	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Mutilvera - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Alfaro - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mutilvera - Gernika	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.11.25	Mutilvera - Sestao	0:2
18.03.23	Mutilvera - Sestao	1:1
29.10.22	Sestao - Mutilvera	2:0
30.04.22	Sestao - Mutilvera	3:0
11.12.21	Mutilvera - Sestao	1:1

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