Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Sestao		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.37	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.25
	2.9	3.15	2.2
	2.95	3.2	2.35
	2.83	3.1	2.33
	3	3.1	2.45
	3	3.08	2.43	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (4.27)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	2.34 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
31.3%

Draw
29.3%

Ferrol
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

28.2%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

30.8%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Sestao - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sestao will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sestao is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.11.22	Cirbonero - Sestao	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Sestao - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	San Juan - Sestao	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Sestao - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Gernika - Sestao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWTTW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Fuenlabrada - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Ferrol - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Ceuta - Ferrol	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Ferrol - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWW

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