Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Arnedo		Vianés

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.9
	1.45	3.88	6.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	3.84 ↓ (4)	6.19 ↓ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnedo
61.9%

Draw
23.5%

Vianés
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

22.2%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Vianés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vianés than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Arnedo - Vianés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 2.

Arnedo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vianés's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vianés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arnedo is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Arnedo will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arnedo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arnedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
15.11.25	Yagüe - Arnedo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	San Marcial - Arnedo	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Varea - Arnedo	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Arnedo - Peña Balsamaiso	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWWW
- CA Vianés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.11.25	Vianés - San Marcial	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	La Calzada - Vianés	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vianés - Varea	1:5 ✺
26.10.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Vianés	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Vianés - Autol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.03.25	Arnedo - Vianés	2:1
09.02.24	Arnedo - Vianés	0:3
24.09.23	Vianés - Arnedo	1:1
20.02.22	Arnedo - Vianés	3:3
10.10.21	Vianés - Arnedo	1:2
14.02.21	Vianés - Arnedo	0:1
15.11.20	Arnedo - Vianés	1:1

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