Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Arosa		Atlético Arteixo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.55	4.55
	1.66	3.63	4.91
	1.70	3.60	4.62	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.8
	1.61	3.52	5.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)	4.79 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
55.1%

Draw
25.9%

Atlético Arteixo
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.5%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

23%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Atlético Arteixo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Arteixo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Arosa - Atlético Arteixo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Rivera J. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, Rojo D. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Rey A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 2.

Arosa has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético Arteixo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atlético Arteixo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arosa is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Arosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 2.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Atletico Arteixo	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Noia - Arosa	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Barbadás - Arosa	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Arosa - Alondras	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lugo B - Arosa	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Arosa - Gran Peña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTWW
- Atlético Arteixo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.03.26	Atlético Arteixo - Viveiro	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	RC Villalbes - Atlético Arteixo	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético Arteixo - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Alondras - Atlético Arteixo	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Arteixo - Lugo B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Atlético Arteixo - Arosa	2:2
26.10.24	Atlético Arteixo - Arosa	3:5
05.05.24	Arosa - Atlético Arteixo	2:1
13.01.24	Atlético Arteixo - Arosa	1:1
26.03.23	Atlético Arteixo - Arosa	2:2
04.12.22	Arosa - Atlético Arteixo	3:1

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