Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lugo B |
|
Arosa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.82 |
2.98 |
2.38 |
|
 |
2.9 |
2.88 |
2.46 |
|
 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
|
 |
2.91 |
2.89 |
2.43 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.25 |
2.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.78) |
2.98 ↓
(3.25) |
2.4 ↑
(2.32) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lugo B
31.9% | Draw
30.4% | Arosa
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)Lugo B - Arosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Remeseiro M. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 1 - 2, Rey A. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).Lugo B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Arosa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Lugo B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lugo B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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