Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 11

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Arronches Benfica		Rio Maior

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.41	3	2.75
	2.52	3	2.82
	2	3	3.7
	2.45	2.95	2.84
	2.45	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)	3 ↑ (2.99)	3.03 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arronches Benfica
39.4%

Draw
30.4%

Rio Maior
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30.6%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.7%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arronches Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Rio Maior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Maior than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Arronches Benfica - Rio Maior Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arronches Benfica will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rio Maior will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Arronches Benfica is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Maior has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arronches Benfica will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Loures - Arronches Benfica	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Arronches Benfica - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Pero Pinheiro - Arronches Benfica	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Arronches Benfica - 1 Dezembro	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Coruchense - Arronches Benfica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LTLWL
- Rio Maior SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Marinhense - Rio Maior	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Rio Maior - 1 Dezembro	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Mortágua - Rio Maior	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Rio Maior - União da Serra	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Sertanense - Rio Maior	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Arronches Benfica - Rio Maior

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Arronches Benfica - Rio Maior Predictions

Preview

Form

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