Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	Arroyo		Moralo

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.75	3.15	2.41
	2.67	3.25	2.36
	2.72	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.13	2.39
	2.75	3.15	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.22)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	2.39 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arroyo
33.5%

Draw
28.5%

Moralo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arroyo's form might have worsened.

Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moralo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arroyo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moralo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arroyo - Moralo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Agbor M. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Garcia Martinez J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Robinho (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 3, Robinho ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Cortes Gallego K. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.12.24	Diocesano - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Arroyo - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Arroyo - Trujillo	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Pueblonuevo - Arroyo	3:1 ✺
27.10.24	Arroyo - Puebla de la Calzada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLLW
- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
30.11.24	Moralo - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Olivenza - Moralo	4:2 ✺
16.11.24	Moralo - Jerez	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Santa Amalia - Moralo	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Moralo - Calamonte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.01.24	Arroyo - Moralo	2:1
11.03.23	Moralo - Arroyo	1:1
06.11.22	Arroyo - Moralo	0:4
30.04.22	Moralo - Arroyo	3:0
17.04.22	Arroyo - Moralo	1:0
12.12.21	Moralo - Arroyo	0:0
26.01.20	Arroyo - Moralo	3:4

Arroyo - Moralo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide