The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moralo 56.3%
Draw 23.4%
Jerez 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
25%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
23.8%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Jerez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Moralo - Jerez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Chavez Chema ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 2.
Moralo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Jerez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Moralo is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Moralo will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Moralo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
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