Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 12

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	Olivenza		Moralo

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.57
	5.4	3.6	1.58
	4.96	3.38	1.64
	5.33	3.54	1.59
	5.4	3.6	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↓ (5.72)	3.52 ↓ (3.68)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
17.4%

Draw
25.7%

Moralo
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.5%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

21.4%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Olivenza - Moralo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Diarrassouba B. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Chavez S. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Nwafuru A. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Quique Roldan ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 3 - 2, Quique Roldan ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 2, Medina F. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 0.

Olivenza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Moralo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moralo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moralo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.11.24	Diocesano - Olivenza	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Olivenza - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Castuera - Olivenza	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Olivenza - Trujillo	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Pueblonuevo - Olivenza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLLT
- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.11.24	Moralo - Jerez	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Santa Amalia - Moralo	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Moralo - Calamonte	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Montijo - Moralo	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Moralo - Villafranca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.01.24	Moralo - Olivenza	4:1
07.05.23	Moralo - Olivenza	1:1
30.04.23	Olivenza - Moralo	0:1
29.01.23	Moralo - Olivenza	2:1
25.09.22	Olivenza - Moralo	1:1
05.02.22	Moralo - Olivenza	2:2
03.10.21	Olivenza - Moralo	2:0

Olivenza - Moralo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide