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Current Win Probability
Moralo 72.1%
Draw 19.1%
Calamonte 8.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.8%
21.2%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
20.2%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moralo's performance.
Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Moralo - Calamonte Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 2.
Moralo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Calamonte is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Calamonte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Moralo is the obvious favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Moralo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
Watch
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