Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Arsenal Sarandí		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.7	3.2
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.5	2.85	3
	2.71	2.66	3.17
	2.72	2.64	3.31
	2.45	2.88	3
	2.6	2.6	3.24
	2.55	2.7	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.55)	2.73 ↓ (2.77)	3.13 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
36.2%

Draw
34.1%

Agropecuario Argentino
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

33.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

32.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Arsenal Sarandí - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sultani T. (G) 4. Amaya A. 2. Bernardi B. 5. Domingo N. (C) 11. Frascone N. 8. Lucero M. 9. Ortiz T. 7. Pavia K. 10. Segovia A. 3. Serrano V. 6. Sosa A.	1. Otarola F. (G) 9. Bieler C. 6. Ledesma F. 2. Lettieri E. 10. Marcioni J. 7. Martinez E. 4. Montero A. 11. Mosqueira R. 3. Ramos M. 8. Rivero M. 5. Villarreal M.
Substitutes
13. Alvarez A. 18. Benitez M. 20. Cabral D. 15. Diaz G. 12. Masuero F. (G) 16. Petino J. 14. Roselli N. 19. Sabatini I. 17. Trombini M.	13. Barrios R. 15. Camisassa B. 19. Cucchi P. 20. Gagliardi A. 18. Melo A. 16. Navarro 12. Salort G. (G) 17. Schonfeld A. 14. Silcan E.
Coaches
Kohan T.	Gomez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Segovia A. ⚽,
6', Serrano V. 🟨,
43', Martinez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez E. ↓, Silcan E. ↑,
46', Ramos M. ↓, Cucchi P. ↑,
49', Cucchi P. 🟨,
49', Sosa A. 🟨,
61', Lucero M. ↓, Trombini M. ↑,
61', Pavia K. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
69', Bieler C. ↓, Gagliardi A. ↑,
69', Mosqueira R. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
73', Frascone N. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
84', Domingo N. 🟨,
86', Segovia A. ↓, Cabral D. ↑,
87', Domingo N. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
89', Rivero M. 🟨,
90+2', Cabral D. 🟨,
90+8', Kohan T. 🟥,
90+11', Ledesma F. 🟥,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.24	Guillermo Brown - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Arsenal Sarandí - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Chacarita Juniors	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTLW
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.24	Agropecuario Argentino - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Agropecuario Argentino	1:5 ✺
29.03.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.19	Arsenal Sarandí - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0

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