Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Huracán Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.25
	3.4	2.9	2.25
	3.7	2.95	2.16
	3.45	2.95	2.23
	3.76	3	2.3
	3.54	3.13	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.01)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	2.23 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
26.4%

Draw
31.4%

Huracán Buenos Aires
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

32.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

33%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Buenos Aires's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.9%	52.1%	25%

Arsenal Sarandí - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 11 - 22.9%). Huracán will win (votes: 12 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 52.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38% – 66.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3).

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Huracán is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arsenal Sarandí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Huracán will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Pombo J. (Injury) Sanchez B. (Injury)

There will not play in Huracán: Henriquez F. (Injury) Ibanez C. (Injury) Perez W. (Injury) Soto G. (Red Card)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.08.22	Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
17.08.22	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate	0:0 ✺
11.08.22	Colón - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
01.08.22	Defensa y Justicia - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTTWT
- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.08.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
16.08.22	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Sarmiento de Junín	4:1 ✺
07.08.22	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
30.07.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.02.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.10.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
21.02.15	Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0

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