The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensa y Justicia 49.6%
Draw 28.2%
Arsenal Sarandí 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
27.6%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
27.7%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
32.1%
25%
Defensa y Justicia - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 7 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 24.6% – 61.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 19).
Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 10 (5.19%), has project points - 39, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 1.
Defensa y Justicia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.