Match Info

Primera B - Round 23

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Defensores Unidos		Argentino de Merlo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	2.75	2.45
	2.70	2.80	2.55	Watch
	2.97	2.78	2.73
	2.9	2.65	2.7	Watch
	2.85	2.60	2.65
	2.88	2.94	2.62	Watch
	2.75	2.70	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.45)	2.75 ↓ (2.84)	2.61 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
32.1%

Draw
33.1%

Argentino de Merlo
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

31.9%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

30.9%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores Unidos's performance.

Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino de Merlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores Unidos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino de Merlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Defensores Unidos - Argentino de Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 2. Lopez J. 9. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 11. Patroni S. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello J.	1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 7. Jerez T. 6. Lopez V. 3. Maceri B. 9. Maldonado F. 8. Medina C. 11. Ortiz J. 10. Scisci G. 5. Sica N. 2. Tamborelli E. 4. Ursino D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Paz Sierra L. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
50', Ursino D. 🟨,
58', Lopez M. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
60', Medina C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
61', Cohen E. ↓, Marcial C. ↑,
66', Girard T. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
76', Ursino D. ↓, Candelaresi T. ↑,
80', Patroni S. ↓, Iribarne S. ↑,
80', Tello J. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
85', Sica N. 🟨,
89', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
90+2', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Lopez V. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 13).

Defensores Unidos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Argentino de Merlo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Argentino de Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Argentino de Merlo	38	11	11	16	33:39	-6	44
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33:39	-6	41

Last Results with these Odds

Defensores Unidos - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.19%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
27.06.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Deportivo Armenio - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLTLW
- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
28.06.26	Argentino de Merlo - Comunicaciones	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Merlo	2:2 ✺
06.06.26	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Camioneros	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
21.02.26	Argentino de Merlo - Defensores Unidos	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
11.06.17	Argentino de Merlo - Defensores Unidos	0:1
12.04.16	Argentino de Merlo - Defensores Unidos	2:0

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