Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday


	Arsenal Sarandí		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3	2.35
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.52	3.09	2.36
	3.52	3.09	2.35
	3.3	3.16	2.26
	3.25	2.8	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.71)	3.07 ↓ (3.16)	2.33 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
28.5%

Draw
30.9%

Gimnasia La Plata
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

30.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	66.7%	20%

Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Medina A. (G) 4. Chimino C. 25. Breitenbruch N. 13. Pombo J. 5. Sporle A. 8. Rivero B. 18. Muscia G. 22. Guzman L. 20. Viveros E. 27. Cejas J. 28. Moreira L.	1. Durso T. (G) 6. Enrique G. 4. Morales L. 20. Cabral Y. 24. Guiffrey G. 9. Abaldo M. 5. Saravia Salvia R. A. 10. De Blasis P. 18. Colazo N. 11. Ramirez E. 25. Tarragona C.
Substitutes
36. Amarilla A. 34. Brestt F. 14. Burruchaga M. 31. Cabrera I. 30. Cardozo F. 33. Cavallaro J. 9. Londono F. 6. Lopez E. 26. Martinez F. 21. Peinipil J. 29. Sosa B. 1. Sultani T. (G)	28. Barros Schelotto B. 14. Bolivar A. 30. Castillo R. 89. Castro L. 7. Dominguez B. 32. Gomez L. 23. Insfran N. (G) 29. Mammini I. 19. Napolitano A. 2. Palazzo B. 37. Sanchez F. 27. Soldano F.
Coaches
Espinola D.	Madelon L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Arsenal Sarandí could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gimnasia La Plata will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Centurion M. (Injury)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Chavez L. (Injury) Miranda M. (Injury) Steimbach A. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.10.23	Independiente - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
25.10.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Banfield	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 TWTTW
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.10.23	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Barracas Central - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
19.10.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Argentinos Juniors	3:2 ✺
08.10.23	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.05.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
15.09.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0
20.10.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
24.11.19	Gimnasia La Plata - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1
04.02.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
26.09.16	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2
18.03.16	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1

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