Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Banfield

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.4	2.85	2.35
	3.4	2.95	2.35	Watch
	3.63	2.96	2.38
	3	3	2.3
	3.44	2.96	2.31	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.86)	2.93 ↓ (3.18)	2.34 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
27.8%

Draw
32%

Banfield
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29.5%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	53.8%	23.1%

Arsenal Sarandí - Banfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Banfield will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Medina A. (G) 4. Chimino C. 25. Breitenbruch N. 13. Pombo J. 5. Sporle A. 11. Brochero L. 18. Muscia G. 8. Rivero B. 20. Viveros E. 9. Londono F. 27. Cejas J.	21. Cambeses F. (G) 32. Coronel E. 4. Maciel A. R. 6. Quiros A. 33. Insua E. 5. Remedi E. 7. Rivera G. 24. Canete M. 20. Rodriguez I. 17. Bisanz J. 45. Gimenez M.
Substitutes
19. Aguirre N. 37. Alvarez A. 36. Amarilla A. 14. Burruchaga M. 31. Cabrera I. 30. Cardozo F. 33. Cavallaro J. 24. Lucero D. 26. Martinez F. 21. Peinipil J. 29. Sosa B. 1. Sultani T. (G)	1. Barovero M. (G) 19. Bonifacio E. 31. Calleros Y. 39. Echeverria M. 10. Gonzalez M. 37. Perez M. 3. Quinteros F. 8. Ramirez M. 18. Soraire J. 23. Sosa N. 9. Sosa S. 11. Tijanovich H.
Coaches
Espinola D.	Falcioni J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 1.

Arsenal Sarandí is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Banfield is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal Sarandí could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Arsenal Sarandí have a series of guest games.

Banfield will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Centurion M. (Injury) Lopez E. (Injury)

There will not play in Banfield: Cabrera A. (Injury) Maldonado A. (Injury) Ramirez M. (Injury) Rios L. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.09.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
25.09.23	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
20.09.23	Vélez Sársfield - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	River Plate - Arsenal Sarandí	3:1 ✺
04.09.23	Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- CA Banfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.09.23	Banfield - Lanús	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Banfield - River Plate	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Barracas Central - Banfield	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Banfield - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Instituto Córdoba - Banfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.07.23	Banfield - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
11.06.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Banfield	0:0
13.12.21	Banfield - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.02.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Banfield	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.07.19	Arsenal Sarandí - Banfield	1:0
02.10.17	Banfield - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2
18.11.16	Arsenal Sarandí - Banfield	1:3

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