Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Independiente		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.47	3.9	7.5
	1.45	4	8	Watch
	1.51	3.85	6.2
	1.47	4.23	8.15
	1.43	4.2	8
	1.45	4.1	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.42)	4.15 ↓ (4.37)	7.39 ↓ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
64.5%

Draw
22.7%

Arsenal Sarandí
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

21.5%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.7%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	38.5%	0%

Independiente - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (G) 22. Isla M. 13. Baez C. 2. Laso J. 15. Perez D. 17. Gonzalez L. 23. Marcone I. (C) 11. Mancuello F. 32. Canelo A. 34. Gimenez M. 26. Aguilar F.	23. Medina A. (G) 4. Chimino C. 25. Breitenbruch N. 13. Pombo J. 5. Sporle A. 18. Muscia G. 22. Guzman L. 8. Rivero B. 20. Viveros E. 27. Cejas J. 28. Moreira L.
Substitutes
1. Bacchia R. (G) 30. Barcia M. 21. Buffarini J. 3. Elizalde E. 8. Lopez K. 29. Martinez B. 37. Martinez D. 14. Martin Sarrafiore 28. Ortiz S. 4. Ostachuk P. 41. Ruiz J. 25. Segovia D. (G)	36. Amarilla A. 34. Brestt F. 14. Burruchaga M. 31. Cabrera I. 30. Cardozo F. 33. Cavallaro J. 9. Londono F. 6. Lopez E. 26. Martinez F. 21. Peinipil J. 29. Sosa B. 1. Sultani T. (G)
Coaches
Tevez C.	Espinola D.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Independiente is certain favorite.

There will not play in Independiente: Cauteruccio M. (Injury) Marquez De Meneses R. L. (Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Centurion M. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Independiente won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.10.23	River Plate - Independiente	3:0 ✺
18.10.23	Independiente - Barracas Central	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Racing - Independiente	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Independiente - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTWT
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.10.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Banfield	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
25.09.23	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.05.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Independiente	2:1
01.10.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Independiente	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.02.22	Independiente - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.11.21	Independiente - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.01.21	Independiente - Arsenal Sarandí	3:4
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.02.20	Independiente - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1
09.12.17	Arsenal Sarandí - Independiente	1:2

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