Match Info

Primera B - Round 35

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		UAI Urquiza

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.50
	1.38	3.90	6.75	Watch
	1.37	4.51	8.18
	1.46	3.79	6.99	Watch
	1.32	4.40	8.05
	1.40	4.47	6.45
	1.37	4.20	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)	4.23 ↑ (3.4)	7.1 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
65.7%

Draw
21.5%

UAI Urquiza
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26.3%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

25.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.

UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Arsenal Sarandí - UAI Urquiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 11. Cabral D. 6. Cabrera I. 4. Caceres R. 5. Colletta T. 9. Kestler I. 2. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. (C) 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 8. Vila J.	1. Viain I. (G) 4. Albano V. 10. Asprea T. 7. Caceres A. 6. Ciancio V. 5. Galli F. 8. Ibanez E. (C) 9. Marin A. 3. Monzon S. 11. Pesse V. 2. Rodriguez V.
Substitutes
14. Antilef A. 13. Brienzo N. 15. Frascone N. 17. La Roza U. 18. Lucero M. 20. Ochoa J. 16. Payes A. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 19. Wrubel E.	16. Arcuri L. 20. Diaz E. 15. Gaitan Q. 19. Mesa F. 18. Polizotto M. 14. Postel F. 13. Prado F. 12. Rolon J. (G) 17. Scacchi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Cabral D. ⚽,
26', Ibanez E. 🟨,
43', Monzon S. 🟨,
44', Caceres A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez V. ↓, Arcuri L. ↑,
62', Cabral D. ↓, Wrubel E. ↑,
66', Marin A. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
66', Albano V. ↓, Polizotto M. ↑,
66', Kestler I. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
66', Trombini M. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Sosa M. ⚽,
76', Caceres A. ↓, Prado F. ↑,
76', Ibanez E. ↓, Mesa F. ↑,
79', Sosa M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
79', Vila J. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
80', Mesa F. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).

Arsenal Sarandí is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

UAI Urquiza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Arsenal Sarandí is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
21	UAI Urquiza	38	5	20	13	21:35	-14	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
05.09.26	Villa Dálmine - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Excursionistas	3:0 ✺
25.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Ituzaingó	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Argentino de Merlo - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTL
- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
06.09.26	UAI Urquiza - Argentino de Merlo	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - UAI Urquiza	1:0 ✺
25.08.26	UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Laferrere	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	UAI Urquiza - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1

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