The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza 32.3%
Draw 34.1%
Argentino de Merlo 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
32%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
32.5%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
UAI Urquiza - Argentino de Merlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. UAI Urquiza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Argentino de Merlo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G)
4. Albano V.
10. Asprea T.
7. Caceres A.
6. Ciancio V.
8. Ibanez E. (C)
9. Marin A.
3. Monzon S.
11. Pesse V.
5. Rios N.
2. Rodriguez V.
Substitutes
16. Arcuri L.
20. Diaz E.
15. Gaitan Q.
13. Menendez N.
19. Mesa F.
18. Polizotto M.
14. Postel F.
12. Rolon J. (G)
17. Scacchi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Rodriguez V. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Pesse V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomez M. ↓, Cohen E. ↑,
46', Rios N. ↓, Arcuri L. ↑,
46', Maldonado F. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
52', Tamborelli E. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
56', Ibanez E. 🟨,
66', Salvador A. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
76', Asprea T. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
76', Marin A. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
77', Cohen E. 🟨,
89', Pesse V. ↓, Postel F. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 1.
UAI Urquiza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Argentino de Merlo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Argentino de Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
21
UAI Urquiza
38
5
20
13
21:35
-14
35
Last Results with these Odds
UAI Urquiza - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Argentino de Merlo - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Viain I. (G) 
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