Match Info

Primera B - Round 33

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.85	3.20
	2.2	2.85	3.15	Watch
	2.24	3.1	3.28
	2.26	2.9	3.27	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.05
	2.25	3	3.45
	2.2	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.18)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
40.6%

Draw
31.2%

Excursionistas
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

30.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Arsenal Sarandí - Excursionistas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 6. Cabrera I. 4. Caceres R. 5. Colletta T. 9. Kestler I. 2. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. (C) 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 11. Vega A. 8. Vila J.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Ledesma D. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
16. Antilef A. 13. Benitez K. 18. Cabral D. 15. Frascone N. 14. Goncebat J. 17. Lucero M. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 19. Wrubel E.	12. Blengio M. (G) 15. Damiolini N. 19. Gimenez W. 16. Lopez M. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 17. Pereyra J. 18. Scaramuzzi E. 20. Tellas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Fernandez M. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Sosa M. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
40', Vega A. ↓, Benitez K. ↑,
44', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Sosa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
89', 🟥,
90+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional).

Recent performances by Arsenal Sarandí have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Excursionistas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Arsenal Sarandí might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal Sarandí - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 40.95%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
25.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Ituzaingó	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Argentino de Merlo - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLTT
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
25.08.26	Excursionistas - Argentino de Merlo	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	5:3 ✺
08.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
17.04.26	Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1

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