The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza 30.3%
Draw 33.3%
Deportivo Armenio 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
33%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
34%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Armenio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 5. Arcuri L. 10. Asprea T. 2. Ciancio V. 4. Galli F. 8. Ibanez E. 9. Mesa F. 6. Monzon S. 11. Pesse V. 3. Prado F. 7. Scacchi S.
1. Dominguez J. (G) 8. Almanza F. 10. Barrionuevo D. 2. Cardozo I. 9. Davila M. 6. Echeverria J. 11. Gerez R. 3. Mosca N. 4. Ortiz B. 5. Tello F. 7. Villalva L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Davila M. ⚽,
35', Arcuri L. ↓, Polizotto M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Polizotto M. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
46', Scacchi S. ↓, Forni L. A. ↑,
57', Herrera Jonathan N. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,
67', Forni L. A. 🟨,
71', Villalva L. ↓, Suanez T. ↑,
71', Mosca N. ↓, Avalos S. ↑,
72', Almanza F. 🟨,
75', Mesa F. ↓, Leiva R. ↑,
75', Caceres A. ↓, Prado F. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Deportivo Armenio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
21
UAI Urquiza
38
5
20
13
21:35
-14
35
Last Results with these Odds
UAI Urquiza - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.29%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Armenio - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.