The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Sarandí 44.8%
Draw 32.5%
Villa Dálmine 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
31.5%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
29.5%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Dálmine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 5. Colletta T. 9. Kestler I. 11. La Roza U. 8. Lucero M. 2. Payes A. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. 4. Schiavulli T. 10. Sosa M. 7. Vila J.
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 7. Garzino F. 3. Martinez D. 5. Nizzo M. 11. Ponzo T. 10. Prim S. 8. Solis M. 9. Torres G.
Substitutes
19. Cabral D. 13. Cabrera I. 14. Del Col M. 16. Frascone N. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 15. Serrano V. 17. Trombini M. 18. Vega A.
13. Amicone A. 14. Britos M. 16. Carlucci V. 19. Forlani S. 12. Friedrich G. (G) 18. Morales M. 15. Nievas A. 20. Oro P. 17. Ramon E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Peralta I. ⚽,
38', Broggi C. 🟨,
41', Peralta I. 🟨,
42', Perez D. 🟨,
42', Agorreca N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Vila J. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
63', Sosa M. ↓, Trombini M. ↑,
66', Prim S. 🟨,
68', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
74', La Roza U. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
74', Torres G. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
74', Prim S. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
78', Lucero M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
78', Schiavulli T. ↓, Del Col M. ↑,
80', Nizzo M. ↓, Carlucci V. ↑,
80', Solis M. ↓, Forlani S. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
Arsenal Sarandí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Arsenal Sarandí will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Arsenal Sarandi
38
19
12
7
50:25
25
69
5
Villa Dalmine
38
17
13
8
38:23
15
64
Last Results with these Odds
Villa Dálmine - the odds 4.07 are the expected chance of winning is 22.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.