Match Info

Primera B - Round 12

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Excursionistas		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.88	2.62	Watch
	2.8	3	2.75
	2.74	2.81	2.69	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.63
	2.69	2.76	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.8)	2.84 ↑ (2.75)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
33.7%

Draw
32.1%

Arsenal Sarandí
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

33.3%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

35.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 8. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 10. Blanco M. 7. Cardozo M. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 11. Tellas G. 5. Zoratti G.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 10. Cabral D. 3. Cabrera I. 5. Colletta T. 7. Del Col M. 9. Kestler I. 8. Lucero M. 2. Payes A. 6. Peralta I. 4. Schiavulli T. 11. Vila J.
Substitutes
19. Arbello I. 12. Blengio M. (G) 15. Damiolini N. 20. Haberkorn F. 16. Lopez M. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 17. Pereyra J. 18. Pereyra O.	17. Benitez K. 13. Brienzo N. 15. Frascone N. 14. Goncebat J. 18. La Roza U. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 19. Sosa M. 16. Trombini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Cabral D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Cabral D. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
55', Blanco M. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
65', Alaniz M. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
65', Tellas G. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
66', Vila J. 🟨,
69', Schiavulli T. ↓, Sosa M. ↑,
69', Lucero M. ↓, Trombini M. ↑,
75', Cardozo M. ↓, Haberkorn F. ↑,
75', Zoratti G. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
76', Paulides A. 🟨,
80', Colletta T. ↓, Goncebat J. ↑,
80', Kestler I. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
85', Frascone N. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional).

Excursionistas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69

Last Results with these Odds

Excursionistas - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.73%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
14.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Excursionistas - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Armenio - Excursionistas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWW
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
14.04.26	Ituzaingó - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentino de Merlo	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Laferrere	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Brown de Adrogué - Arsenal Sarandí	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWW

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