Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 7

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Artsul		Nova Cidade

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.10	4.10
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.79	3.07	4.13
	1.82	3.25	4.23
	1.75	3	4
	1.76	3.13	4.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.77)	3.11 ↓ (3.5)	4.18 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Artsul
49.9%

Draw
28.7%

Nova Cidade
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Artsul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Nova Cidade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Artsul than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Cidade than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Artsul - Nova Cidade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 6th and 10th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Artsul carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Artsul has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Artsul against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Artsul	9	3	4	2	12:10	2	13
10	Nova Cidade	9	1	3	5	8:12	-4	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Artsul FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
09.10.26	Petrópolis - Artsul	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Artsul - Serrano FC	3:4 ✺
26.09.26	Macaé - Artsul	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Artsul - Carapebus Campos	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Artsul - Campo Grande	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTTW
- EC Nova Cidade
Brazilian Carioca B1
10.10.26	Nova Cidade - Campo Grande	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Audax Rio - Nova Cidade	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Nova Cidade - Goytacaz	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Niteroiense - Nova Cidade	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Nova Cidade - São Cristóvão	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
18.10.25	Nova Cidade - Artsul	0:0
21.09.24	Artsul - Nova Cidade	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
18.11.20	Nova Cidade - Artsul	1:0

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