Match Info
Carioca B1 - Round 6Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished
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 |
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 |
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Nova Cidade |
|
Campo Grande |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.85 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.82 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.59 |
2.94 |
2.73 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.80 |
2.70 |
|
 |
2.38 |
3.10 |
2.97 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.85) |
2.9 ↓
(2.95) |
2.78 ↑
(2.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nova Cidade
36.6% | Draw
31% | Campo Grande
32.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Nova Cidade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Cidade's performance.Campo Grande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Campo Grande might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Cidade than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nova Cidade that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campo Grande than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campo Grande could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nova Cidade - Campo Grande Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+8', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th and 6th).Recent results have been tough for Nova Cidade (last 5 matches: 0 wins).Performances by Campo Grande have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins). The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nova Cidade has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.Specifically in home fixtures for Nova Cidade against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Campo Grande | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
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| 10 | Nova Cidade | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
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