Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Nova Cidade		Campo Grande

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.75	2.55
	2.70	2.85	2.45
	2.92	3.09	2.34
	2.35	2.80	2.70
	2.48	2.94	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.85)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	2.54 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nova Cidade
33.9%

Draw
30.9%

Campo Grande
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

30.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

30.2%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Cidade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Campo Grande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Cidade than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campo Grande than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Nova Cidade - Campo Grande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th and 6th).

Recent results have been tough for Nova Cidade (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Campo Grande have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nova Cidade has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Nova Cidade against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Campo Grande	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8
10	Nova Cidade	5	0	2	3	3:8	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Nova Cidade
Brazilian Carioca B1
03.10.26	Audax Rio - Nova Cidade	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Nova Cidade - Goytacaz	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Niteroiense - Nova Cidade	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Nova Cidade - São Cristóvão	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- Campo Grande AC
Brazilian Carioca B1
03.10.26	Campo Grande - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Serrano FC - Campo Grande	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Campo Grande - Macaé	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Artsul - Campo Grande	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Campo Grande - Carapebus Campos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
05.11.25	Nova Cidade - Campo Grande	1:0

Nova Cidade - Campo Grande: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide