Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Audax Rio		Nova Cidade

	1	X	2
	2.30	2.90	2.85
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.35	2.92	2.91
	2.35	3.06	2.94
	2.3	2.85	2.85
	2.34	3.23	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.29)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.89 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Rio
38.7%

Draw
30.1%

Nova Cidade
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nova Cidade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Audax Rio - Nova Cidade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 12th in the Relegation - Carioca B2 and 10th).

Nova Cidade may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Audax Rio has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Audax Rio against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Nova Cidade	5	0	2	3	3:8	-5	2
12	Audax RJ	5	0	1	4	2:8	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Rio
Brazilian Carioca B1
26.09.26	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Macaé - Audax Rio	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Audax Rio - Artsul	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.07.26	São Gonçalo - Audax Rio	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Audax Rio - Resende	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW
- EC Nova Cidade
Brazilian Carioca B1
26.09.26	Nova Cidade - Goytacaz	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Niteroiense - Nova Cidade	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Nova Cidade - São Cristóvão	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Nova Cidade - Friburguense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
27.09.20	Audax Rio - Nova Cidade	2:0

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