The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Duque de Caxias 38.1%
Draw 31.1%
Artsul 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.8%
27.6%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
26.7%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duque de Caxias's form might have worsened.
Artsul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Artsul's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duque de Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Artsul than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Artsul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Duque de Caxias - Artsul Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Carioca B1 Playoffs - Semi - finals and 6th).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Duque de Caxias holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Duque de Caxias has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 0.8:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Duque de Caxias against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
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