Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Arucas		Gran Tarajal

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.36	4.33	6.78
	1.35	4.5	7.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.45)	4.34 ↑ (4)	6.75 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arucas
65.8%

Draw
20.8%

Gran Tarajal
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

16.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gran Tarajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arucas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Tarajal than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gran Tarajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arucas won 2.

Recent matches Arucas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gran Tarajal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gran Tarajal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arucas is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Arucas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arucas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
23.02.24	Teror - Arucas	0:3 ✺
17.02.24	Arucas - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Tamaraceite - Arucas	3:2 ✺
04.02.24	Arucas - Herbania	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Buzanada - Arucas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTT
- UD Gran Tarajal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
25.02.24	Gran Tarajal - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Las Palmas B - Gran Tarajal	4:0 ✺
11.02.24	Gran Tarajal - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lanzarote - Gran Tarajal	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Gran Tarajal - Tenerife B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
15.10.23	Gran Tarajal - Arucas	0:1
09.04.23	Gran Tarajal - Arucas	0:1
10.12.22	Arucas - Gran Tarajal	0:1
16.04.22	Arucas - Gran Tarajal	2:2
05.12.21	Gran Tarajal - Arucas	0:0
12.12.20	Arucas - Gran Tarajal	2:2

Arucas - Gran Tarajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide