Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Ibarra		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.57	3.02	2.02
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.4)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.04 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibarra
26.5%

Draw
29.3%

UD San Fernando
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibarra's form might have worsened.

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ibarra - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Galvan C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 1.

Ibarra in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches UD San Fernando is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.7:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
22.02.25	Unión Viera - Ibarra	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Ibarra	2:4 ✺
01.02.25	Ibarra - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Ibarra - Los Llanos de Aridane	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Panadería Pulido - Ibarra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWW
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
23.02.25	UD San Fernando - Los Llanos de Aridane	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	UD San Fernando - Herbania	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	San Bartolomé - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
20.10.24	UD San Fernando - Ibarra	3:1
05.03.23	UD San Fernando - Ibarra	4:1
29.10.22	Ibarra - UD San Fernando	0:3
05.01.20	UD San Fernando - Ibarra	4:2
22.12.18	Ibarra - UD San Fernando	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.11.17	Ibarra - UD San Fernando	4:1

Ibarra - UD San Fernando: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide