Match Info

First League - Round 21

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arys		Batyr Ekibastuz

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.70	1.95
	2.45	3.40	2.32
	2.94	4.17	1.95	Watch
	3.03	4.21	1.95	Watch
	3.25	3.8	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.45)	3.86 ↑ (3.4)	2 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arys
31.1%

Draw
23.5%

Batyr Ekibastuz
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

26%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Batyr Ekibastuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Batyr Ekibastuz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arys than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Batyr Ekibastuz than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Batyr Ekibastuz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Orazaly A. ⚽, Kulmaganbetov A. (A),
67', 1 - 1, Kuralbaev E. (Penalty Awarded),
75', 2 - 1, Vaganov M. ⚽, Mansurov B. (A),
90+4', 3 - 1, Abdimutalipov K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arys won 0.

Arys has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Batyr has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Batyr will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arys won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arys won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arys	25	9	3	13	33:45	-12	30
11	FC Batyr	24	7	6	11	32:54	-22	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
20.08.26	Arys - Taraz	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Khan Tengri - Arys	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Astana 2 - Arys	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Arys	4:1 ✺
16.07.26	Arys - Turan Turkistan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL
- Batyr Ekibastuz
Kazakh First League
20.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:2 ✺
14.08.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Jaiyq	3:1 ✺
06.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Yelimay 2	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
12.06.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	1:1
30.08.24	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:2
05.07.24	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	3:0
24.10.23	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:1
13.07.23	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	3:0
22.10.20	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	2:2
24.09.20	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
15.10.26	Arys - Akademiya Ontustik	✺
- Batyr Ekibastuz
Kazakh First League
16.10.26	Kairat 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	✺

Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide