Match Info

First League - Round 15

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Shakhter Karagandy		Arys

	1	X	2
	1.07	11.50	16.00
	1.05	9.6	19.5
	1.02	9.7	14.5
	1.07	9.61	18.89	Watch
	1.05	8.55	18
	1.05	11	31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.07)	9.99 ↑ (7.9)	19.65 ↓ (21)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
86.3%

Draw
9.1%

Arys
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.3%

11.4%

4.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Arys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shakhter Karagandy - Arys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Mansurov B. ⚽, Imanali M. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Nurmugamet R. ⚽, Kalybayev D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
77', 2 - 1, Litosh A. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Litosh A. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, Litosh A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).

Shakhter Karagandy is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shakhter Karagandy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	23	20	2	1	64:8	56	62
11	Arys	23	7	3	13	29:43	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
16.07.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
02.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Jaiyq	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
16.07.26	Arys - Turan Turkistan	0:4 ✺
09.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Arys	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Arys - Yelimay 2	3:2 ✺
25.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Arys	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
23.04.26	Arys - Shakhter Karagandy	0:6

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