Match Info

First League - Round 18

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Khan Tengri		Arys

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.40	2.85
	2.02	3.30	3.10
	1.3	8.19	4.96	Watch
	2.03	3.30	3.05
	1.30	7.80	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.36)	5.2 ↑ (3)	3.83 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khan Tengri
55.9%

Draw
18.7%

Arys
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khan Tengri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khan Tengri's performance.

Arys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khan Tengri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arys than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 12)

Khan Tengri is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arys's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Khan Tengri is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Khan Tengri won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Khan Tengri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Arys	24	8	3	13	32:45	-13	27
11	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
06.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Khan Tengri	3:1 ✺
30.07.26	Khan Tengri - Turan Turkistan	0:1 ✺
23.07.26	Jaiyq - Khan Tengri	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Khan Tengri - Yelimay 2	0:1 ✺
09.07.26	Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
31.07.26	Astana 2 - Arys	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Arys	4:1 ✺
16.07.26	Arys - Turan Turkistan	0:4 ✺
09.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Arys	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Arys - Yelimay 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
15.05.26	Arys - Khan Tengri	0:1
23.08.24	Khan Tengri - Arys	3:2
07.04.23	Arys - Khan Tengri	1:3

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