Match Info

First League - Round 16

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Astana 2		Arys

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.25	5.25
	1.37	4.85	5.9
	1.34	4.7	5.1
	1.33	5.16	6.83	Watch
	1.36	4.7	5.7
	1.33	5.21	7.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)	4.98 ↓ (5.16)	6.01 ↓ (6.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Astana 2
66.9%

Draw
18.1%

Arys
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.9%

17.8%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

16.9%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Arys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Astana 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arys than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Astana 2 - Arys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Kaltanov A. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Zheksenbek A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Arys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Astana 2 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Astana 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Astana 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Astana 2	25	11	3	11	49:50	-1	36
8	Arys	25	9	3	13	33:45	-12	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana 2
Kazakh First League
23.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Astana 2	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Astana 2 - Jaiyq	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Yelimay 2 - Astana 2	2:1 ✺
02.07.26	Astana 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:1 ✺
26.06.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Astana 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWT
- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
24.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Arys	4:1 ✺
16.07.26	Arys - Turan Turkistan	0:4 ✺
09.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Arys	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Arys - Yelimay 2	3:2 ✺
25.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Arys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
30.04.26	Arys - Astana 2	3:1
01.09.23	Astana 2 - Arys	3:0
20.05.23	Arys - Astana 2	3:0

Upcoming Matches