Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Casertana		Pomezia

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.77	3.4	3.9
	1.79	3.4	3.84
	1.67	3.75	3.8
	1.73	3.64	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.46)	3.56 ↓ (3.97)	3.97 ↓ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
52.1%

Draw
25.3%

Pomezia
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.5%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.9%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casertana's form might have worsened.

Pomezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pomezia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pomezia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pomezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Casertana - Pomezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Casertana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pomezia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pomezia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Casertana is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
18.02.23	Romana - Casertana	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Casertana - Real Monterotondo	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Casertana	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Casertana - Cassino	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Paganese - Casertana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTL
- Pomezia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.02.23	Pomezia - Sorrento	0:3 ✺
12.02.23	Arzachena - Pomezia	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Real Monterotondo - Pomezia	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Pomezia - Tivoli Calcio	3:3 ✺
22.01.23	Romana - Pomezia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTL

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