Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Arzúa		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.2	1.33
	7.82	4.16	1.36
	8.9	4.3	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.32 ↑ (8.3)	4.22 ↓ (4.27)	1.33 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arzúa
10.9%

Draw
21.4%

Bergantiños
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

21.2%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

20.9%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Arzúa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Arzúa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bergantiños is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arzúa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bergantiños is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arzúa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Arzúa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.02.24	Arosa - Arzúa	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Arzúa - Sarriana	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Betanzos - Arzúa	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Silva SD - Arzúa	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Arzúa - Estradense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTLTL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.02.24	Bergantiños - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Rápido de Bouzas - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Bergantiños - Viveiro	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Bergantiños - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Somozas - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.10.23	Bergantiños - Arzúa	3:0
17.02.21	Bergantiños - Arzúa	2:0

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