Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Arzúa		Somozas

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.61
	5.47	3.54	1.55
	5.47	3.54	1.54
	5.65	3.7	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (4.07)	3.55 ↑ (3.18)	1.56 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arzúa
16.8%

Draw
25.4%

Somozas
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

28.3%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

25.8%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arzúa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arzúa's form might have worsened.

Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Somozas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arzúa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Somozas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Mira Á. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, Hurtado I. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Cerro J. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Arzúa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Somozas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Somozas is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arzúa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Arzúa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Arzúa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.03.24	Atlético Arteixo - Arzúa	5:1 ✺
09.03.24	Alondras - Arzúa	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Arzúa - UD Ourense	0:3 ✺
25.02.24	Pontevedra B - Arzúa	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Arzúa - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLLL
- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
24.03.24	Somozas - Barbadás	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Somozas - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Rápido de Bouzas - Somozas	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Somozas - Viveiro	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Atlético Arteixo - Somozas	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
29.10.23	Somozas - Arzúa	3:0
15.01.23	Arzúa - Somozas	3:1
11.09.22	Somozas - Arzúa	3:1
16.02.22	Arzúa - Somozas	0:2
07.03.21	Arzúa - Somozas	1:1

Arzúa - Somozas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide