The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arzúa 17.1%
Draw 25.8%
UD Ourense 57.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
21.5%
47.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Arzúa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for UD Ourense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD Ourense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
Arzúa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
UD Ourense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Arzúa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Arzúa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.