Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Ashton United		Atherton Collieries

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.8	7.25
	1.33	5	7
	1.35	5.6	6.68
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.32	4.9	7.43
	1.33	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	4.97 ↑ (4.5)	6.98 ↑ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
68.6%

Draw
18.3%

Atherton Collieries
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.2%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ashton United - Atherton Collieries Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ashton won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Ashton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ashton is certain favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Ashton won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
20.01.24	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	3:3 ✺
06.01.24	Ashton United - Warrington Rylands	0:0 ✺
01.01.24	Hyde United - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
26.12.23	Ashton United - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Marske United - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTLL
- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
13.01.24	Atherton Collieries - Matlock Town	1:3 ✺
01.01.24	Lancaster City - Atherton Collieries	3:2 ✺
26.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Workington	4:3 ✺
23.12.23	Warrington Rylands - Atherton Collieries	1:1 ✺
19.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Marine	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:3
16.09.23	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	2:2
English NPL Premier Division
18.03.23	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	3:0
01.10.22	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	2:0
05.04.22	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	2:2
01.02.22	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2

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