Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	Atherton Collieries		Marine

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.33	1.42
	6	4.33	1.42	Watch
	4.95	4.33	1.54
	5.97	4.66	1.44
	5	4.5	1.44
	6.25	4.3	1.41
	6	4.33	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.7 ↑ (3.44)	4.4 ↑ (3.6)	1.44 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atherton Collieries
16%

Draw
20.7%

Marine
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

25%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

22.9%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atherton Collieries's form might have worsened.

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atherton Collieries, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atherton Collieries - Marine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Marine is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
16.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Whitby Town	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Atherton Collieries	1:2 ✺
28.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Macclesfield Town - Atherton Collieries	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLL
- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
16.12.23	Marine - Gainsborough Trinity	3:1 ✺
12.12.23	Morpeth Town - Marine	1:0 ✺
05.12.23	Marine - Bamber Bridge	4:1 ✺
02.12.23	Marine - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
28.11.23	Marine - Workington	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
04.03.23	Atherton Collieries - Marine	0:1
27.09.22	Marine - Atherton Collieries	4:0
English FA Cup
05.10.21	Marine - Atherton Collieries	5:4 ET
02.10.21	Atherton Collieries - Marine	0:0
English FA Trophy
11.11.17	Atherton Collieries - Marine	1:5

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