Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	Atherton Collieries		Workington

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.49
	5	4.2	1.52	Watch
	4.33	5.21	1.54
	4.33	5.21	1.54
	5.5	4	1.44
	5.3	4.05	1.5
	5	4.2	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.6)	4.42 ↑ (3.71)	1.51 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atherton Collieries
18.6%

Draw
20.7%

Workington
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

24.5%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

24%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atherton Collieries's form might have worsened.

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Workington's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atherton Collieries, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Workington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atherton Collieries - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Atherton Collieries is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Workington is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Workington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Workington have a series of home games.

In this match Workington is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
23.12.23	Warrington Rylands - Atherton Collieries	1:1 ✺
19.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Marine	0:5 ✺
16.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Whitby Town	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Atherton Collieries	1:2 ✺
28.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLLWL
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
23.12.23	Workington - Ilkeston	4:1 ✺
19.12.23	Workington - Macclesfield Town	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ashton United - Workington	2:2 ✺
12.12.23	Workington - Worksop Town	3:3 ✺
09.12.23	Workington - Morpeth Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.19	Atherton Collieries - Workington	0:0

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