Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Ashton United		Nantwich Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.6	3.6
	1.86	3.5	3.45
	1.95	3.67	3.48
	1.73	3.75	4
	1.94	3.48	3.44
	1.63	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.52)	3.63 ↓ (4.02)	3.75 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
50.4%

Draw
25.2%

Nantwich Town
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

22.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

21.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.

Nantwich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantwich Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantwich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Ashton United - Nantwich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ashton will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nantwich will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ashton won 3.

Recent matches Ashton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nantwich has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Nantwich have a series of home games.

In this match Ashton is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ashton won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
29.10.22	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Radcliffe - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
18.10.22	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Ashton United - Stalybridge Celtic	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Ashton United - Dunston UTS	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTWL
- Nantwich Town
English NPL Premier Division
29.10.22	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Nantwich Town - Liversedge	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Bamber Bridge - Nantwich Town	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Nantwich Town - Marine	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Nantwich Town - Warrington Rylands	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
29.10.22	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	1:2
29.01.22	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	2:2
16.10.21	Ashton United - Nantwich Town	2:1
23.11.19	Ashton United - Nantwich Town	0:4
21.04.18	Ashton United - Nantwich Town	2:1
23.09.17	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	2:3
08.04.17	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	3:2

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