Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Ashton United		Rushall Olympic

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.35	2.88
	2.19	3.62	2.84
	2.21	3.7	2.88	Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.17	3.42	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	2.85 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
41.9%

Draw
26.2%

Rushall Olympic
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

26.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

24.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Rushall Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rushall Olympic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Ashton United - Rushall Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, Hardy J. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Okuonghae O. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Spooner C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 1.

Recent performances by Ashton have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rushall is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ashton Utd	10	3	3	4	12:11	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ashton United - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.42%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Rushall Olympic - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.68%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ashton United - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Whitby Town - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ashton United - Leek Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWTL
- Rushall Olympic
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Prescot Cables - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Workington - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.08.25	Rushall Olympic - Ashton United	1:0
27.03.18	Rushall Olympic - Ashton United	4:2
02.12.17	Ashton United - Rushall Olympic	2:1
25.02.17	Rushall Olympic - Ashton United	1:1
24.09.16	Ashton United - Rushall Olympic	1:2
12.04.16	Rushall Olympic - Ashton United	0:2
13.02.16	Ashton United - Rushall Olympic	2:3

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